January 24, 2013

2013 Top 250 Hitter Rankings & Projections



     I'm sure there is a better way to do this, and I'll try to figure it out, but I wanted to get my hitter rankings and projections out there for the viewing public.  I know a lot of die hard fantasy baseball players are already in full gear with their rankings and mock drafts so this should help. 

     The way I did my rankings this year was a little different.  I started with the projections, using past numbers along with considering injuries, age, trajectory of players career, team, projected spot in lineup and guessing at the number of at bats (obviously the toughest part, and tougher as you get further into the list).  After that I took each statistic and ordered the list from top to bottom.  I gave the highest player the most points (250), next player 249, etc. all the way down to 1.  For example in Runs, Mike Trout was number one so he recieved 250 points, Miggy got 249, etc.  I did this for Runs, Home Runs, RBI, Stolen Bases, Batting Average, OPS and HR+SB.  I then took the stats I feel are toughest to obtain and multiplied the score to give that stat a bit more credit. HR were multiplied by 1.2, AVG, OPS and SB 1.1 and runs, RBI and HR+SB 1.0 (no change).  Example; Giancarlo Stanton was projected to hit the most HR so he had a score of 250, I multiplied that by 1.2 to get 317.  After that I added up all of the stat scores to get a total - highest total is highest ranked and so on.

     Overall I really like how the rankings came out.  They were similar to many top industry rankings so I knew I was directionally correct, however the guys with power, OPS, AVG and steals were ranked a little higher than players that rely on runs and RBIs to attain their value.  Another trend I noticed was that five category players tend to rank higher on my list.  I like this as well since I think 5 category players with a tilt towards the power statistics are the best players to draft.  The biggest downfall to the rankings are that players who are typically labeled 'specialists' or 2-3 stat contributors get penalized more than they probably should (due to a very low score in a couple categories).  I think these 'specialists' can round out a roster nicely if you have the rest of your bases covered.    

     So, here they are.  The 2013 Clubhouse GM Fantasy Baseball Top 250 Hitter Rankings and Projections.  Understand that there is a lot that goes into this process so I reserve the right to update and modify any information prior to the start of the regular season.  So have at it and let me know what you think. 













Updates to this list and Pitcher ranks and Projections to come next week.

1 comment:

  1. Great work. Out of interest, do you have any plans to provide the projections in a downloadable (excel) format?

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