2013 Mock Draft #1 - Results

Over the weekend I took part in my first Mock Draft of the 2013 Fantasy Baseball Season.  I used my updated rankings and projections which can be found at ClubhouseGM Rankings & Projections.  The draft was put on by the guys over at MLBDirt who did a great job pulling this together.  The format was Roto with the standard 5x5 categories (r, hr, rbi, sb and avg for hitters and w, s, k, era and whip for pitchers).  There were 12 teams and we drafted the following positions; C, 1B, 2B, 3B, SS, MI, CI, OF, OF, OF, OF, UT, UT, SP, SP, SP, RP, RP, P, P, P and three Bench spots.  I ended up with the #2 pick, which usually I'm not a big fan of having in a snake draft, but it works out well this year as you get one of the big three (Miggy, Braun or Trout).  Here are the players I drafted and my thoughts about each pick. 

Pos	Player	Rnd	Ov	Player picked after that I should have considered
3B	Cabrera, Miguel - DET	1	2	I have him number 1 overall (consistency and position) so I was happy to see him fall to me at #2.
OF	Heyward, Jason - ATL	2	23	I like Longoria in the late 2nd, but I already had Miggy
SS	Castro, Starlin - CHC	3	26	Beltre & Wright are good picks in the 3rd, but I already had Miggy.  I think Hanley is comparable to Castro, but I like the AVG boost more than a slight boost in counting stats.  Latter in the draft its tough to get HR & SB with a good AVG
1B	Gonzalez, Adrian - LAD	4	47	I was hoping a good 1B fell to me with this pick and I had my pick from A Gon, Goldschmidt and Rizzo.  I like the pick, but had I know I could've gotten Rizzo in round 9 I may have used this pick on an OF like Choo, Cespedes or BJ Upton
SP	Greinke, Zack - LAD	5	50	4th/5th/6th round is when I like to grab my first SP and I was estatic that Greinke was still on the board
OF	Gordon, Alex - KC	6	71	I probably should have grabbed another SP with one of these picks and I may have reached a bit for Gordon/Jennings, but they are still young with room to grow.
OF	Jennings, Desmond - TB	7	74	I have Jennings down for 100+ runs, 15-20 HRs, 70+ rbi, 40+ SB and a .270 average.  Basically Jose Reyes (2nd rounder) but in the OF and slightly less AVG.
P	Chapman, Aroldis - CIN	8	95	This pick got a lot of negative comments, but in the 8th round I get a guy that could produce top 10 pitcher numbers.  Theres certainly risk, but wherever he ends up (rotation/bullpen) I love high K guys and he is one of the best
OF	Pence, Hunter - SF	9	98	I timed out here and computer picked the top guy in queue.  Not a terrible pick, but I was about to grab Medlen.  As often happened throughout my guy was taken right before my pick (even though only one guy and two picks seperated them.  I wanted Chapman and Gallardo, should've went the other way and grabbed Gallardo first.
SP	Kuroda, Hiroki - NYY	10	119	I think there is another clear drop off in tallent level after the 8th/9th round.  Kuroda isn't a sexy pick, but his consistency offsets Chapmans question marks.
2B	Weeks, Rickie - MIL	11	122	Some better players (Cruz, Swisher, Samardzija) came off the board after this pick, but there wasn't much left at 2B after Weeks and I do like his power/speed combo.
C	Montero, Jesus - SEA	12	143	I like him more than most and although I don't like to reach for a catcher, I also don’t mind having a player whose floor is likely 20 HRs and a .270 average with potential for much more
SP	Minor, Mike - ATL	13	146	Not drafting a pitcher until round 5 I know I'm going to need to find some good bargains late.  Minor has high K's and was a bit unlucky last year, he could be a good steal here.
CI	Moustakas, Mike - KC	14	167	3B is shallow.  Moustakas isn't the talent some thought he would be and that probably makes some disregard him, but he's a decent 3B option and a good CI in my opinion.
SP	Peavy, Jake - CHW	15	170	At this point I'm starting to worry about my pitching.  Some guys I hoped would fall here (A Sanchez, Lester, Wilson) are gone and I thought Peavy was an ok risk/reward here.  Brett Anderson was taken with the next pick and I would have rather had him.
UT	Myers, Wil - TB	16	191	I was debating guys like Kubel, Revere and Soriano.  When I get to that point I start looking at the sleepers/rookies.  Myers could start in the minors, but he could also be a ROY candidate and greatly outperform this draft spot.  (Profar, Machaco, D'Arnaud and Bundy are others to start considering when the pickin's get slim).
RP	Rivera, Mariano - NYY	17	194	He seems to be healthy and if he was he'd be drafted 10 rounds higher.  At this point I'm ok with taking a closer, especially the best of all time.
RP	Miller, Shelby (R) - STL	18	215	Back to my rookie comment, only difference is that he's done it in the bigs (if only for a couple games).  A good chuck of the guys drafted from here on out will end up on waivers at some point - depending on roster and transaction limits I'd prefer to grab the guys with higher upside.  Other picks I could have had here (Mallon, A Reed and R Madson - again high risk/reward).
MI	Ramirez, Alexei - CHW	19	218	Not crazy about this pick, but I needed to fill my MI spot and there wasn't much left.  At least he can provide counting stats and won't hurt in any category.
SP	Marcum, Shaun - NYM	20	239	Coming out of the draft my pitching isn't going to wow anyone, but getting Marcum this late was a big boost to my rotation IMO.
UT	Dunn, Adam - CHW	21	242	If you draft Dunn you can pretty much gaurauntee you wont finish tops in the league with average (or likely very close to it).  That said, we have deep rosters, I have some pretty solid AVG guys and 80+ runs, 40 HRs and 90+ RBIs is pretty aweseom in the 21st round.
RP	Cishek, Steve - MIA	22	263	Was really hoping Houston Street or Rick Bauer (ha!) would fall to me here, but I did want to add another potential closer.  I don't like to pay for saves, but I don't think punting that category is wise either
SP	Jackson, Edwin - CHC	23	266	A lot of pitchers I'd rather have went off the board after this pick (Bundy, Bauer, Beachy, Fiers, etc.).  I grabbed E Jax because of his consistency - problem is he's consistenty average
UT	Carpenter, Matt - STL	24	287	If he's able to push Descalso off of 2B (see no reason why he can't) they he could provide decent numbers across the board and be a versitle bench player to fill in for injuries, etc.

At the end of the day my lineup will look like this;

Starting Lineup
C	Jesus Montero
1B	Adrian Gonzalez
2B	Rickie Weeks
3B	Miguel Cabrera
SS	Starlin Castro
MI	Alexi Ramirez
CI	Mike Moustakas
OF	Jason Heyward
OF	Desmond Jennings
OF	Alex Gordon
OF	Hunter Pence
UT	Adam Dunn
UT	Wil Myers
SP	Zack Greinke
SP	Aroldis Chapman
SP	Hiroki Kuroda
RP	Mariano Rivera
RP	Steve Cishek
P	Mike Minor
P	Jake Peavy
P	Shaun Marcum
B	Shelby Miller
B	Edwin Jackson
B	Matt Carpenter

I'm very happy with this team overall.  Pitching is obviously my weakness, but I think I found pretty good value later in the draft and can supplement with some crafty waiver wire pickups or trades.  I like my offense a lot, especially for such a deep roster.  Many of my hitters have 4-5 tool capability.  If anything I might be a little light on Power (unusual for me), but if I can roster Adam Dunns terrible average (and Rickie Weeks for that matter) I should be ok there. 

Let me know what you think.  Who did I draft too early? what are my team weaknesses?