February 1, 2012

A Closer Look At First Base

This position is deep. Just look here. And I don’t mean deep like drug addict looking at the stars, I’m talking deep like I wouldn’t mind having any player ranked between 1 & 21. This position has seen a boom in production the past few years. Prior to Pujols era, I feel like all the major production was in the outfield. I could be wrong, but it’s just what I feel. Anyway, first base (1B) is bottomless. Of the top 5 guys, I can see all 5 easily going in the first 2 rounds, and the top 2, Pujols and Cabrera fighting for the #1 overall spot (I’d take Cabrera. That 3B eligibility makes me drool). However profound this position is, it still leaves a lot of questions. When do you take a 1B? How many do you take? Who do you take? Answers to those questions and more right after this period.

Personally, I enjoy drafting by position scarcity. I love seeing Tulo in my SS slot and looking at guys that have Escobar or Jeter. I giggle to myself often when I see that. With that, I wait on 1B as long as possible. In most of my mock drafts, I don’t draft a 1B till around the 5th round. I truly believe in the production of players like Morse, Freeman, Berkman, and Konerko.  These are guys that are being taken in the 5th, 8th, 5th, and 4th, respectively. That’s 4 guys with 30+ HRs, a guy that finished 2nd in the NL Rookie of the Year Award, and all hit 0.282 or better. Grab a couple of them late, and your 1B is all set.

But that’s what I do, maybe I’m not you. No, I know you’re not me, so maybe you like to draft a boatload of 1B. There’s nothing wrong with trying to grab 2 horses that can anchor your team, and conceding other positions. Basically saying, ”SS is already weak, why bother with it till the finally rounds?!” Or “after the first couple of top tier 2B are gone, there’s no difference between them, so nuts to them!” And guess what? That’s a perfectly good strategy, there’s a lot less risk in Votto/Fielder then there is Carlos Gonzalez (1st rounder) & Pedroia. So I’m here to tell you, there is no risk with the top 5 1B. Reach for Hosmer because he’s a stud. Be happy with waiting and grabbing Morse, Konerko, and Berkman. They are not sexy names, but they’ll get the job done. Teixiera will get the job done, it won’t be pretty, but he’ll get you those Zeus like power numbers. Everyone is down on Young, but he qualifies for every position on the infield, and hot dog vendor, so he’s a great guy to grab. I like him. 5 guys I won’t touch Reynolds, Trumbo, Goldschmidt, Howard, and Pena. These guys could be a great source of cheap power, but there’s just too much risk, and with it being such a deep position, I’ll find it elsewhere. Two other guys that aren’t getting enough praise are Lind and Cuddyer. Two guys that I think will increase there power totals in 2012. 

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